Adaptive Vs Predictive

‘Known projects can usually rely upon a predictive method of planning. Predictive planning provides a linear, specific development plan structured around producing a pre-determined end result within a specific timeframe.

Evolving projects that face changing conditions are best suited for adaptive planning. Adaptive planning involves breaking a project into small components over an undetermined timeline to allow ultimate flexibility in directing the course of the project.

Whereas the outputs from predictive planning are expected and knowable, adaptive planning may yield surprising outcomes. Due to the incremental nature of adaptive planning, the overall result of a project may differ substantially from the original intent. The challenge associated with adaptive planning is to remain flexible and open to change, while not becoming irresolute.’

This is taken from ‘Adaptive vs. Predictive: Is the end clear?’ by Elisa Warner http://www.idea.org/adaptive.html

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